North Texas vs LSU 9/1/2012

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LSU is a heavy favorite winning 99% of simulations over North Texas. Zach Mettenberger is averaging 172 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Spencer Ware is projected for 70 rushing yards and a 64% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 1% of simulations where North Texas wins, Derek Thompson averages 1 TD passes vs 1 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.27 TDs to 1.13 interceptions. Antoinne Jimmerson averages 72 rushing yards and 0.67 rushing TDs when North Texas wins and 54 yards and 0.15 TDs in losses. LSU has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 100% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LSU -45 --- Over/Under line is 55

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